probability Discussion Post, statistics homework help

Answer should be informal, and around 2-3 paragraphs with 2 in-text citations from internet sources. See below for question. (I check for plagiarism)

Do you use probability in your profession or real life? You most likely do. Give an example of how you have used probability in your life. Be sure to show how you calculated it. Would a contingency table work better for the type of probability you calculated? Did the resulting outcome of the event back up your probability that you calculated? If not, what were the reasons why?